Hedera Jumped 25% Following Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF, Can HBAR Reach $1?

Hedera (HBAR), a fully open-source public distributed ledger that leverages fast, fair, and secure hashgraph consensus to build and deploy decentralized applications (dApps). HBAR, the native cryptocurrency of Hedera, is used to pay for network services like smart contracts, minting tokens, and staking to secure the network via a proof-of-stake system.

HBAR surged 25% following the launch of Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF on October 28, 2025. The ETF, trading under the HBR ticker on Nasdaq, provides investors with direct exposure to HBAR without the complications of crypto wallet management. HBAR price reportedly surged from $0.1775 to $0.2052, breaking its key resistance at $0.2060. Crypto analysts expected a 50-60% price surge after the ETF launch, but the dominance of the Bitwise Solana ETF dampened HBAR’s movement and restricted its institutional inflows.

According to the latest market analytics, HBAR currently trades at $0.20, which is 3.81% lower than yesterday’s price. The price decline comes amid the Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF launch on Nasdaq and enhanced institutional interest.

Source: TradingView

The low ETF inflows are the major reason for this sudden HBAR price drop. Analysts claim that the low ETF inflows reduced immediate buying pressure for HBAR; altcoin liquidation pressures remain a key factor.

HBAR Price Forecast: Can HBAR Reach $1?

HBAR’s recent market trend, right after its ETF launch, is not favorable for Hedera, but the price forecast analyses claim that HBAR still holds enough power and has solid potential to reach that $1 price point in the upcoming years. At the moment, HBAR hitting the $1 price point is highly unlikely, and experts believe that reaching $1 is a long-term goal for HBAR rather than a short-term objective. 

Some analysts in the crypto sector forecast that HBAR reaching that highly expected $1 price point is possible by 2027 or 2028 under favorable and optimistic market scenarios. Price-increasing factors like market volatility, strategic partnerships, technological adoption, and regulatory changes will change the narrative and significantly influence HBAR price and might induce its speed.

Disclaimer: This prediction table is speculative and created based on HBAR’s current market statistics. The values are subject to change according to market momentum.

As you can see, HBAR is expected to perform better in each year and could reach a $3.00 price point after 5 years. At the moment, or on a short-term basis, HBAR will probably not hit $1, but on a long-term basis, the native crypto of Hedera can go beyond $1.

What are the Factors Influencing HBAR Price?

Several factors can make a huge difference in HBAR price movement. Market volatility, technological adoption, strategic partnerships, ETF inflows, and regulatory climate are major factors that are capable of making a big difference. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile; a positive upward momentum will boost HBAR price and possibly take it to the $1 price point. At the same time, market downtrends and a bearish outlook will hinder its price movement. 

Technological adoption has an important role in native crypto’s price movement. HBAR will exhibit a significant and dominant price rally as more businesses and users adopt the Hedera network. Hedera is a network that can process a high number of transactions per second; it will make Hedera one of the most in-demand blockchain projects.

Hedera’s strategic partnerships, along with the ecosystem development, will be key because integrations with other companies can boost Hedera’s utility and attract more users, which will increase the HBAR demand and price.

Regulatory climate is another key factor that has a say in HBAR’s price movement. No cryptocurrency will display positive momentum when it is in an unfavorable regulatory environment. These regulatory and administrative changes can have both positive and negative impacts on crypto prices. The ETF listing by Canary Capital provides a positive outlook for HBAR. It gave HBAR an institutional legitimacy and liquidity boost, which will ultimately be beneficial for long-term price growth.

Final Verdict

Market analysts see HBAR as a potential replacement and fierce competitor for XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. The highly rated crypto is unlikely to reach its much-needed $1 price point in the near-term price movement.

Other long-term price analysts believe that crossing $1 will be more feasible by 2027-2028, in a positive regulatory environment and growth scenario. Some ambitious crypto enthusiasts believed that HBAR could reach $1 by the end of 2025 in optimistic scenarios, with some analysts putting the potential peak around $1.04 or even higher. They noted that other predictions for 2025 were more cautious, with highs around $0.75 and averages near $0.40.