Bitcoin’s Price Prediction: Why Bitcoin’s Upside May Be Capped? BTC Short-Term & Long-Term Forecast
Bitcoin has achieved relative stability after the “Black Friday” crash on October 10th that witnessed a liquidation of $19.6 billion from the market. Bitcoin is currently trading around $ 111,900, representing a 7.8% decline this week. While the asset seems bullish, traders fear another short-term downtrend due to the ongoing profit-taking momentum and the upcoming options expiry on October 31st. Additionally, the recent U.S.-UK cybercrime seizure of $14 billion BTC and the dumping of 46.5K BTC by the short-term traders have created FUD in the market.
This article delves into the details of the current FUD and forecasts the upcoming short-term and long-term price movements of BTC by analyzing the market sentiment, technicals, and historical data.
Why is Bitcoin Going Down? Top Reasons
Bitcoin’s downtrend can be attributed to multiple core reasons, including the profit-taking momentum, technical weakness, upcoming options expiry, and the U.S.-UK seizure.
- Profit-Taking Momentum: As an asset that witnessed significant growth this quarter, both the short-term traders and the long-term investors are expected to take profit from Bitcoin when it hits the all-time high. Both traders began taking profit when BTC achieved its ATH of $126.1k on October 7th, and this eventually resulted in the crackdown.
- Technical Weakness: While at $126K, Bitcoin exhibited high overbought behaviour, and the market was in extreme greed. Upon the downtrend, BTC struggled to maintain a momentum above the psychological support of $125K, and the wipeout of the leveraged long positions amplified the correction.
- Options Expiry: The upcoming options expiry on October 31, 2025, with expirations worth $18 billion BTC and ETH, has ignited bearish sentiment in the market despite the speculations regarding the Uptober rally. Historically, options expiry creates short-term price fluctuations, and investors fear the same happening.
- Bitcoin Seizure: The US Department of Justice (DOJ) seized approximately $15 billion worth of Bitcoin on October 14, resulting from a joint operation of the U.S. and UK that targets transnational criminal syndicates. The seizure was from a “pig butchering” network, and the chairman of the firm, Chen Zui, a Cambodian national, was arrested. This created significant negativity in the market.
Bitcoin’s Price Forecast: The Short-Term View
Bitcoin’s technicals are weak, and the trading volume has decreased in the past two days. The asset failed to hold the 200-day moving average ($111K) and the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level ($117,940). According to the RSI indicators, it is oversold, and the overall sentiment is bearish. So, we will likely witness a slight downtrend today and tomorrow. The detailed prediction for this week is provided below.
- Oct 16, 2025 $ 112,581
- Oct 17, 2025 $ 111,999
- Oct 18, 2025 $ 113,611
- Oct 19, 2025 $ 114,472
- Oct 20, 2025 $ 114,475
Bitcoin’s Price Forecast: The Long-Term View
While BTC is bearish in the short-term, the long-term forecast suggests an upward momentum. The price prediction of BTC from 2025 to 2030, derived from the technical analysis, market sentiment analysis, and historical data, is provided below.
| Year | Min. Price | Avg Price | Max. Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $ 113,081 | $ 31,665 | $ 144,597 | 28.79% |
| 2026 | $ 74,425 | $ 102,053 | $ 139,858 | 24.57% |
| 2027 | $ 56,375 | $ 70,325 | $ 88,381 | 21.28% |
| 2028 | $ 57,439 | $ 193,656 | $ 278,211 | 147.81% |
| 2029 | $ 272,819 | $ 290,612 | $ 308,078 | 174.41% |
| 2030 | $ 203,500 | $ 242,202 | $ 275,145 | 145.08% |
The Bottom Line: HODL or Sell Bitcoin?
Our analysis suggests that Bitcoin will probably reach the support levels of $112.5K and $110, or $100K in the worst-case scenario. Despite the short-term downtrend, it will be back on track, helping the long-term hodlers. Anyhow, it is important to do your own research before blindly believing these predictions. Always do your own research to finalise the entry and exit points. DYOR!
Crypto & Blockchain Expert